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DEMAND FOR RAW MATERIALS AND SEMI-MANUFACTURED GOODS WEAKENED IN JULY, FALLING AT FASTEST RATE THIS YEAR, SIGNALLING SLOWING ECONOMIC GROWTH: GEP GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAIN VOLATILITY INDEX
- Worldwide supply chain spare capacity rises, adding to the calls for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates soon.
- Asian factory demand at its weakest since December 2023, partly because of a notable decrease in purchasing by Chinese factories.
- Suppliers to North America report underutilized capacity, with Mexican manufacturers reporting lower input demand for the first time since October 2023.
- European market continues to struggle, with region’s manufacturing recession persisting.
CLARK, N.J., Aug. 12, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — In July, the GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index — a leading indicator tracking demand conditions, shortages, transportation costs, inventories and backlogs based on a monthly survey of 27,000 businesses — signaled underutilized capacity at global suppliers for the first time since April, falling to a four-month low.
The greatest level of slack in supply chains was in Europe, which continues to grapple with recession conditions in its manufacturing sector, especially in Germany. Asia growth also cooled as factory demand in the region contracted to its weakest since December 2023. Underlying data revealed a decrease in purchasing activity by Chinese factories — the first time this has occurred in nine months. Japan’s manufacturing sector was also a source of weakness.
Suppliers to North American companies reported slightly underutilized capacity during July, as was the case in June. Slowing purchasing activity was seen across all three countries within the region, with Canada reporting the steepest contraction. Notably, Mexican factories, which have been a driver of growth in the region this year, reported lower input demand for the first time since October 2023.
“In July, purchasing activity by global manufacturers declined, indicating that economic growth is slowing, adding to the calls for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates sooner rather than later,” explained Mike Jette, vice president, consulting, GEP. “This is not alarming data. The world’s supply chains continue to operate efficiently, with no sign of stockpiling, shortages, or price pressures. But to head off any material slowdown in the second half of the year, manufacturers do need demand to increase.”
Interpreting the data:
Index > 0, supply chain capacity is being stretched. The further above 0, the more stretched supply chains are.
Index < 0, supply chain capacity is being underutilized. The further below 0, the more underutilized supply chains are.
JULY 2024 KEY FINDINGS
- DEMAND: Having recovered in the first half of the year, global factory purchasing activity fell by the greatest margin since the end of 2023 in July, indicating renewed weakness in the world economy. Central to this decline was a fresh slowdown in Asia, driven by China and Japan. Europe’s manufacturing recession persisted, especially in Germany, where factory purchasing contracted sharply.
- INVENTORIES: The inventory cycle has stabilized. While reports from global businesses of safety stockpiling due to price or supply concerns were below typical levels, the underlying indicator has generally trended in line with its long-term average so far this year.
- MATERIAL SHORTAGES: Reports of item shortages fell slightly in July, down to their lowest level since January, signaling high stock levels at vendors of commodities and critical raw materials.
- LABOR SHORTAGES: The supply of labor is not an inhibiting factor for global manufacturers, as reports of backlogs due to insufficient staffing capacity are at typical levels.
- TRANSPORTATION: Although supply chain activity dipped in July, global transportation costs are at the highest in 21 months, largely driven by Asia.
REGIONAL SUPPLY CHAIN VOLATILITY
- NORTH AMERICA: Index unchanged at -0.11, indicating slightly underutilized capacity across the region’s suppliers. Manufacturers in the U.S., Mexico and Canada all reported a softening of demand in July.
- EUROPE: Index fell sharply to a three-month low of -0.49, down from -0.13. Europe’s manufacturing sector recession is persisting, with major economies, such as Germany, at the heart of the decline.
- U.K.: Index dropped to 0.11, from 0.49 in June, but still signaling capacity pressures at the U.K.’s suppliers.
- ASIA: Index slipped from June’s 16-month high of 0.35 to 0.07, its lowest since April. Demand for inputs at Asian factories was at its weakest this year, principally because of a softening in China and Japan.
For more information, visit www.gep.com/volatility.
Full historical data dating back to January 2005 is available for subscription. Please contact [email protected].
The next release of the GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index will be 8 a.m. ET, September 11, 2024.
About the GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index
The GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index is produced by S&P Global and GEP. It is derived from S&P Global’s PMI® surveys, sent to companies in over 40 countries, totaling around 27,000 companies. The headline figure is a weighted sum of six sub-indices derived from PMI data, PMI Comments Trackers and PMI Commodity Price & Supply Indicators compiled by S&P Global. For more information about the methodology, click here.
About GEP
GEP® delivers AI-powered procurement and supply chain solutions that help global enterprises become more agile and resilient, operate more efficiently and effectively, gain competitive advantage, boost profitability and increase shareholder value. Fresh thinking, innovative products, unrivaled domain expertise, smart, passionate people — this is how GEP SOFTWARE™, GEP STRATEGY™ and GEP MANAGED SERVICES™ together deliver procurement and supply chain solutions of unprecedented scale, power and effectiveness. Our customers are the world’s best companies, including more than 550 Fortune 500 and Global 2000 industry leaders who rely on GEP to meet ambitious strategic, financial and operational goals. A leader in multiple Gartner Magic Quadrants, GEP’s cloud-native software and digital business platforms consistently win awards and recognition from industry analysts, research firms and media outlets, including Gartner, Forrester, IDC, ISG, and Spend Matters. GEP is also regularly ranked a top procurement and supply chain consulting and strategy firm, and a leading managed services provider by ALM, Everest Group, NelsonHall, IDC, ISG and HFS, among others. Headquartered in Clark, New Jersey, GEP has offices and operations centers across Europe, Asia, Africa and the Americas. To learn more, visit www.gep.com.
About S&P Global
S&P Global (NYSE: SPGI) S&P Global provides essential intelligence. We enable governments, businesses and individuals with the right data, expertise and connected technology so that they can make decisions with conviction. From helping our customers assess new investments to guiding them through ESG and energy transition across supply chains, we unlock new opportunities, solve challenges and accelerate progress for the world. We are widely sought after by many of the world’s leading organizations to provide credit ratings, benchmarks, analytics and workflow solutions in the global capital, commodity and automotive markets. With every one of our offerings, we help the world’s leading organizations plan for tomorrow, today.
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HAMILTON, Bermuda, Dec. 19, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — FXGiants has recently launched a series of exciting bonuses. Participants on the FXGiants‘ online trading platform can now amplify their trading potential with a broad spectrum of bonuses that are tailored to fit different trading needs. These bonuses not only add extra value but also act as a safety net for traders to explore the financial markets without risking too much.
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View original content:https://www.prnewswire.co.uk/news-releases/fxgiants-online-trading-platform-launches-bonus-initiative-to-reward-traders-302338463.html
BEIJING, Dec. 23, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Cheung Kong Graduate School of Business (CKGSB) successfully hosted the Western China MBA Professor Training Program in collaboration with the China National MBA Education Supervisory Committee and Shantou University School of Business on December 17 and 18, 2024. 58 professors from over 40 universities in China nationwide, mostly western China, attended this training.
Since 2007, CKGSB has been aspiring to address the pressing disparities in management education between eastern and western China with its MBA professor training program. As of 2024, the program has trained 372 professors from 155 universities across 22 provinces, 4 autonomous regions, 3 direct-administered municipality in China, indirectly impacting tens of thousands of MBA students.
This year, the training focused on social innovation and business for good, a topic many participating professors found lacking in their day-to-day teaching and research. Professor ZHU Rui (Juliet), CKGSB Professor of Marketing and Director of the ESG and Social Innovation Center, led the training. She introduced how CKGSB has been innovating with the integration of business for good in management education, and how our relevant practice-based course has already helped 2,800+ students integrate ESG into their businesses. Professor Zhu also hosted an interactive workshop with the training’s participants on how they may build this idea into their teaching.
Participants shared in their post-program survey that Professor Zhu’s teaching and her ESG Assessment map gave them a new perspective on how to balance profits and social responsibilities. Many also felt inspired on how to bridge the gap between research and practice.
Recognized in CKGSB’s 2022 and 2024 ESG and Social Innovation Reports and honored as a finalist for the 2021 China Social Impact Award by the United Nations and British Chamber of Commerce, this program exemplifies CKGSB’s impact in this critical area. Through partnerships with the government, NGOs, and business schools, this initiative has made significant progress in promoting quality education and reducing inequalities.
For more information on CKGSB’s ESG and social innovation efforts, visit our ESG and social innovation website.
About CKGSB
Established in Beijing in November 2002, CKGSB is China’s first privately-funded and research-driven business school. The school aims to cultivate transformative business leaders with a global vision, sense of social responsibility, innovative mindset, and ability to lead with empathy and compassion (https://english.ckgsb.edu.cn).
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VADUZ, Liechtenstein, Dec. 23, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Wirex, a global leader in bridging traditional and digital finance, has announced the addition of VNX Euro (VEUR) and VNX Swiss Franc (VCHF) to its platform. With this integration, Wirex users can now spend VEUR and VCHF directly through their Wirex cards, streamlining everyday transactions and enhancing convenience.
Wirex cards allow users to use VEUR and VCHF in various ways. Whether users receive payments in VEUR and/or VCHF, use them for remittances (including cross-border transactions), or sell digital assets for stablecoins instead of fiat, Wirex provides the simplest solution for spending in real life. Users can instantly convert their stablecoins into fiat currency and send them directly to their bank accounts, catering to those who prefer traditional banking options.
Pavel Matveev, Co-founder of Wirex, said: “We’re excited to welcome VNX Euro (VEUR) and VNX Swiss Franc (VCHF) to Wirex. This addition allows our users to effortlessly spend stablecoins in real life, whether for daily purchases, remittances, or managing their digital assets. At Wirex, our goal is to make digital currencies as convenient and versatile as traditional money, and VEUR and VCHF are another step toward achieving that vision.”
Future Features
Additional features will be rolled out later after the launch, complementing the immediate benefits of VEUR and VCHF. These include loans and high-yield X-Accounts, both of which are growing in popularity among Wirex users. Loans offer a smart and tax-efficient way to access liquidity without selling underlying digital assets. Users can leverage their BTC, ETH, SOL, and other digital assets, as collateral for loans in stablecoins, allowing them to benefit from potential appreciation while accessing funds without triggering taxable events.
X-Accounts provide an opportunity for users to earn industry-leading yields of up to 15% APY on their stablecoin balances, enhancing the overall value proposition of holding VEUR and VCHF within the Wirex ecosystem.
Upcoming Advanced Opportunities
VEUR and VCHF have the potential to become preferred options in Wirex’s advanced trading products, such as Wirex DUO and Wirex Multiply. Notably, Euro-backed stablecoins have already demonstrated significantly higher usage among Wirex users than larger USD alternatives, highlighting strong demand for Euro-denominated trading options.
As Wirex explores adding VEUR and VCHF to these products, it aims to further strengthen its position as a leader in digital finance by offering innovative solutions that bridge the gap between traditional finance and digital assets.
Disclaimer: The term “stablecoin” is used herein in relation to VEUR and VCHF for marketing purposes. The reader however shall understand that VEUR and VCHF are fiat-referenced tokens which are described in more detail in the VNX Gold based Fiat Referenced Tokens (FRT) Terms and Conditions which are available for review at www.vnx.li
About VEUR and VCHF
Both VEUR and VCHF are multichain tokens referencing the Euro and Swiss Franc, developed by VNX, generated by a licensed token generator under the Blockchain Act in Liechtenstein. VEUR and VCHF are supported by the reserves ensuring 1:1 parity and represent a reliable digital asset in the crypto world. These tokens combine the stability of fiat currencies with the convenience of crypto, enabling quick, low-cost, and 24/7 accessible cross-border payments while opening new opportunities in DeFi.
About Wirex
Wirex is a prominent UK-based digital payments platform with over 6 million customers spread across 130 countries. It offers secure accounts, making it easy for users to store, purchase, and exchange multiple currencies seamlessly. As a principal member of both Visa and Mastercard, Wirex goes beyond traditional services, embracing the evolving trends of Web3 to provide mainstream access to digital finance and wealth management. Having processed transactions totalling $20 billion, Wirex aims to contribute to the adoption of a cashless society by facilitating straightforward transactions in various currencies worldwide. Wirex is simplifying digital payments, making it more accessible and convenient for people across the globe.
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